Some FTTH opportunities will emerge in India

Yet another National Broadband Plan announced by the government of India raises the question of whether vendors will and should compete for FTTH in India's currently limited market.

Despite a billion-strong population, slow growth in wireline broadband subscribers (just over 10 million) remains a disincentive, particularly in comparison with the 120 million in China.

The number of FTTH subscribers remains around 50,000, compared with several million in China. Wireless broadband is considered to be a better opportunity than wireline broadband in India.

FTTH opportunities to this point have been unprofitable for western vendors due to the demand for rock-bottom equipment prices. The broader question is if there will be profitable opportunities for western vendors in India. Specific opportunities will exist but the incumbents BSNL and MTNL will not make it easy.

Low ARPUs have been cited as a primary cause for the lack of interest in rolling out FTTH. India, like many developing countries, has growing levels of income inequality. Not a good thing in itself, but a growing wealthy elite provides a small group of early adopters of new technologies with spending power.

MTNL is the wireline incumbent of two of the wealthiest Indian cities – Mumbai and Delhi. Both cities may have plenty of low-income residents in slums, but they also have a sizable population, possibly up to a few million, who live in houses whose market value now ranges up to a half-million dollars.
Monthly rentals are $1,000 and above and many upwardly mobile professional residents will spend $40-$50 per month and upwards on a combination of wireline broadband and telephony, mobile broadband and telephony, and movies in premium theaters, all of which are services that can be delivered by FTTH.

MTNL should be able to cherry-pick its customers to justify a business plan. Indeed, low ARPU may be less of a reason for the low FTTH rollout than mismanagement of targets and disorganization within BSNL and MTNL.

Between the two, they own the majority of fixed lines in India and are protected by regulation from unbundling those lines.

Being fully (BSNL) or partially (MTNL) government owned, BSNL and MTNL hardly face any negative shareholder feedback on missing broadband rollout targets. It’s close to impossible to fire government employees.

In India, what is clear is that unlike China, there is no magic formula of government-funding support and influential vendors. Without any political backing for unbundling, FTTH rollouts in India have the government as a hurdle, not a source of support.

Banking on BSNL or MTNL should not be the only option. BSNL’s initial rollout is completed but subscriber growth remains substantially low. Despite the bluster about a second round of FTTH equipment procurement, when BSNL will embark upon that round remains anyone’s guess.

Some vendors are citing high-end residential housing developers and property managers as customers. Alphion has been working with a group of developers of such housing. Ericsson recently announced a win with Radius Corporation, a systems integrator for real-estate companies. Comparable to the BSNL rollout so far, the contract includes GPON FTTH connections to 600,000 households.
Other opportunities center on high-profile events. The Radius win included new housing for athletes participating in the Commonwealth Games, the largest sporting event to be held in India in many years.

A similar spending binge was noticed just before the Olympics were held in China (although not so much fiber, but it was early days for PON in 2008).

No doubt there was an infrastructure spending bump in South Africa for the World Cup 2010, which will be repeated in Brazil for the World Cup 2014, Russia in 2018, and Qatar in 2022. For many developing countries, such events are an opportunity to showcase the economic rise of their country.

As with high-end residential builds, there will be demand for higher-quality telecom infrastructure, which will increasingly involve some combination of fiber. Such specific opportunities will exist and should grow into more mass-market opportunities as incomes rise.

Partnership with local vendors is an option. UTStarcom in partnership with local vendor Aksh Optifibre rolled out EPON FTTH a couple of years ago. Local partners have several advantages here in growing their infrastructure business. Knowing a minister or two can help win a wireless spectrum auction. Alphion has developed specific FTTH passive infrastructure due to knowledge of local conditions.

Tracking regional variations can be difficult when dealing with local high-end projects. From the latest statistical figures, it appears a change in the economic fortunes of the various Indian states may be under way.

Richer, economically developed states are stagnating where there is unexpected economic and infrastructure growth among the poorest states. Having a base only in Bangalore or Hyderabad without having a system of tracking growth elsewhere in the country may not be helpful beyond picking low-hanging fruit.

Point Topic: 600,000 UK broadband homes by year end

Suggesting that it’s “sticking our neck out a bit with this,” UK broadband market research and analysis firm Point Topic predicts that the number of UK telephone lines carrying superfast broadband will grow from its current number of about 45,000 today to more than 600,000 by the end of 2011. 

“BT has to reach numbers like this to show that their investment in superfast broadband is credible,” explains Tim Johnson, chief analyst at Point Topic. “They have to show both that the demand is there and that they have the technology to supply it. It’s going to be very exciting to see if they manage it.” 

BT has announced ambitious roll out plans for its “superfast” broadband service (see "BT to trial gigabit FTTP broadband"), which Point Topic defines as supplying 25 Mbps or more. Meanwhile, the Government has announced its own strategy to spur superfast broadband deployment (see "Digital hubs central to next phase of UK broadband strategy").

Point Topic predicts that BT will supply approximately 3% of the UK’s superfast broadband lines via a combination of fiber-to-the-cabinet (FTTC) and fiber-to-the-premises (FTTP) technology. Virgin Media will supply 50 Mbps to a further 200,000 homes via its cable network, Point Topic predicts. 

However, BT will have to increase its deployment rate to make Point Topic look good. BT Infinity will have to triple its October 2010 deployment rate of 3,000 connections per week in the first half of 2011 and then raise it again to 14,000 a week in the second half of the year to hit Point Topic’s numbers. 

Point Topic bases its cheery estimates on several factors:

  • The number of homes to which BT Infinity can market its services will grow from approximately 600,000 in mid-2010 to more than 6 million by the end of 2011.
  • BT Openreach has “largely cracked” the broadband deployment process.
  • Other broadband technologies, such as DSL and local loop unbundling, have achieved similar deployment figures in the past.

Swisscom, Energie Wasser Bern agree on Berne FTTH/FTTB network

Energie Wasser Bern and Swisscom have reached an agreement to extend the City of Berne's fiber-optic network into city households. The agreement will see 90 percent of buildings in the city with fiber to the home/business (FTTH/FTTB) access by 2017.

Swisscom will bear 60 percent and Energie Wasser Bern 40 percent of the investments needed for constructing the network.

Swisscom reached a similar agreement with IWB to fund an FTTH/FTTB network in Basel (see “IWB, Swisscom join for FTTP in Basel”)

By signing the cooperation agreement, Swisscom and Energie Wasser Bern have committed themselves to work together to construct Berne's fiber-optic network. Both companies will be responsible for laying the cables. Swisscom will connect 30 percent of households to the network and will also be responsible for laying the fiber-optic cables between the neighborhood cabinets and the telephone exchanges. Energie Wasser Bern will build the fiber-optic network for 70 percent of the city.

Constructing the network will cost CHF 172 million ($178.7 million). Both partners have granted each other long-term usage rights for the fibre-optic network.

Four fibers will be laid per household. Swisscom and Energie Wasser Bern will receive one fiber each for their sole use. The others will be assigned as required or made available to other companies prepared to invest in them.

It is expected that by the end of 2011, more than a third of Berne's residents will be able to use the new services. By 2017, 90 percent of properties will have a fiber-optic connection, and by 2020, the network will cover the entire city of Berne, the two companies assert.

SingTel, Portugal Telecom to collaborate on FTTH/IPTV pay TV

Portugal Telecom SGPS, S.A. and Singapore Telecommunications Ltd. (SingTel) have signed a collaboration agreement to share operational and commercial best practices in fiber-optic and IPTV based pay TV services and to develop applications for ultra high-speed fixed and wireless networks.


As part of this agreement, both companies will tap into each other’s expertise and partnership deals in areas such as IPTV and FTTH, as well as the mobile and business markets.

The agreement includes:

  • Sharing benchmarks and best practices particularly in operating efficient and effective fiber-based fixed line networks
  • Collaboration on research and development including joint creation of cross-platform applications and solutions
  • Leveraging joint scale and assets in wholesale procurement leading to potential cost savings
  • Fostering talent pools across the companies including employee secondment programs

Working teams will identify collaboration opportunities in the areas identified in the agreement.

Portugal Telecom’s FTTH network currently passes 1 million homes, with an additional 600,000 FTTH homes passed an announced goal for 2011. The national carrier also has test 10G GPON technology (see “Portugal Telecom, Alcatel-Lucent to trial symmetrical 10G GPON”).

This year in Singapore, SingTel launched 100-Mbps FTTH services to residential customers.

Kroes says EU doesn't need NBN Co

Europe does not need an Australian-style NBN Co to push deployment of next-generation networks, Digital Agenda commissioner Neelie Kroes says.

Instead, rules outlined in the Agenda, a recent Broadband Communication andRadio Spectrum Policy will be sufficient to achieve the European Commission’s goals of offering basic broadband access for all citizens by 2013, high speed access by 2020, the commissioner told Telecoms Europe.net.

“What is essentially different between the Australian and European telecom environment is that Europe favours a market driven approach,” Kroes said in an exclusive interview.

While the Digital Agenda and Broadband Communication set out similar targets to Australia’s goal of 100% penetration, the EC prefers to work on regional, national and local initiatives that can stimulate private investment, she explains.

Indeed, the EC should only become involved in individual rollouts “if the market fails to deliver,” she said.

However, it is essential that member states keep their broadband plans up-to-date and look to cut the cost of deploying infrastructure by co-coordinating civil engineering works, highlighting existing infrastructure that could carry cable, and upgrading the wiring in buildings.

Kroes believes high-speed networks are now vital to boost the region's economy.

“If Europe failed to invest in broadband it would forego a very significant source of growth potential. That is why the broadband targets have been proposed and why they are, if anything, more relevant now in these times of austerity,” Kroes said.

Additional European funding for local and regional authorities seeking to stimulate the market will be made available in the coming years, and the Commission is seeking to grow its co-operation with the European Investment Bank (EIB) “and possibly other institutional investors,” to secure additional funds for broadband deployment, the commissioner revealed.

The EIB currently invests €2 billion per year in broadband projects, and any increase could spur investment in projects with a “higher risk profile,” Kroes explained.

Ultimately, though, investment will rely on a clear message from national regulators, Kroes says, noting that a “consistent regulatory approach…is important to give investors confidence for the design of their business plans.”

Lithuania’s TEO announces fiber to the business investments

TEO LT AB of Lithuania says it plans to invest more than LTL 15 million ($5.8 million) in the next-generation fiber-optic access in business centers and office buildings by the end of 2012. TEO says the investment will make its Internet technologies available to almost 80 percent of the country’s businesses and organizations that have their offices in office buildings.

TEO will also use the new infrastructure to support cloud computing services.

It is planned that by the end of 2012, TEO fiber-optic access will be installed in more than 1000 buildings. This year, the fiber-optic network is most actively developed in Vilnius, Kaunas and Šiauliai. In these cities alone, by the end of December, TEO fiber-optic access will be installed in more than 200 office buildings.

In 2011, the overall investments of TEO in the FTTH network, which is being expanded in 50 cities in Lithuania, will reach more than LTL 70 million ($6.58 million), while the total amount of investments planned by the company next year will be over LTL 150 million ($58 million).

Bouygues Telecom, SFR to collaborate of FTTH deployment posted 13 Dec 2010 18:10 by Enrique Areizaga

French carriers Bouygues Telecom and SFR have signed a co-investment agreement for deployment of fiber to the home (FTTH) infrastructure in certain cities.

Both carriers use GPON technology, a factor that helps make the collaboration possible.

The agreement calls for the two carriers to pool their investments in fiber-optic horizontal networks that are deployed between their points of presence and buildings. The agreement will allow both operators to accelerate and expand the deployment of FTTH, they say.

SFR already has deployed FTTH services in several communities, and plans to expand that offering in 2011. Bouygues Telecom plans to begin its own FTTH-based offerings in the second half of 2011.

ARCEP, the French telecommunications authority, announced its approval of the deal.

"This agreement is the expression of a new entrant's (Bouygues Telecom) proactive approach and capacity to invest in a lasting fashion in ultra-fast broadband fibre-to-the-home (FTTH) infrastructure, and so confirming the relevance of the regulatory choices introduced by ARCEP in the decision it adopted late last year," read a statement posted on ARCEP's website.

"In the coming days, ARCEP will be adopting a corollary decision whose purpose is to define the main rules governing ultra-fast broadband FTTH rollouts in the entire country, outside of high-density areas. This will provide the French market with a complete regulatory framework for ultra high-speed optical fibre deployments that will allow stakeholders to extend their investments to the whole of France," the statement concluded.

UK broadband plans panned

Analysts have blasted the UK government’s next generation network plans for being light on detail.

Research firm Ovum claims the plans to offer the fastest broadband in Europe, outlined yesterday, are no different to pledges by other governments in the region, and said the focus on incumbent BT could stifle competition.

Analyst Charlie Davies said several UK ISPs are “worried that BT will simply maintain and even increase its market position in broadband as a result of its dominant position in more rural areas,” in an e-mailed statement.

Those concerns have been heightened by a BT pledge to match public funding of £830 million (€980 million) to boost fiber deployment in rural areas over the next decade, Davies said.

Jeremy Hunt, secretary for culture, Olympics, media and sport, yesterday confirmed the investment while outlining plans to deploy a minimum 24Mbps service to two-thirds of UK addresses by 2015.

Plans include installing a digital hub in every community, cutting the cost of accessing infrastructure through shared access, and working with builders to ensure new homes are kitted out with broadband cable.

“We want the UK to have the best broadband system in Europe by 2015,” Hunt stated.

A BT spokesman confirmed the telco would extend its current investment of £2.5 billion in fiber build-out, but that the amount would “depend on the government funds that we are able to secure.”

The telco estimates that it could hit 90% of premises by 2015 if awarded the full £830 million.